According to an 8:00am update by meteorologist: Derek Ortt at StormGeo and share by the Department of Disaster Management on its Facebook page, the tropical wave is along 56W, or about 310 miles east of Tobago.
The system is moving to the west at 15 to 20 mph.
On this track, the disturbance is expected to move through the southern Windward Islands later today, June 22, 2021.
There is a large area of thunderstorms associated with the disturbance, mainly on the eastern side of the disturbance. Thus, enhanced thunderstorm activity is likely late today into tomorrow for the southern Windward Islands. Longer term, the southern part of the disturbance is expected to move toward the Northwest Caribbean, where conditions may be a little more favorable for tropical development.
While development is unlikely within the next couple of days, there remains a 20 percent chance of tropical development within the next 7 days.
Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory. You can also visit the DDM’s webpage at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates or like us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm.